Tennis · ATP Brussels · 20/10, 12:00
Prediction: Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs
Team pages: Toby Samuel · Zizou Bergs
Prediction summary
Winner
Toby Samuel
Zizou Bergs
Estimated games
25.5Bet365 line 25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Toby Samuel
3-7 (W-L)
Zizou Bergs
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Toby Samuel
0–1
Zizou Bergs
(1 last)
- 26 Jun1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toby Samuel 1509 · Zizou Bergs 1540
| Toby Samuel | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Zizou Bergs dominates on serve: 7 aces and 43.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Toby Samuel 0–1 Zizou Bergs (1).
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Toby Samuel | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.7-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.2 | 15.3-13.3 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5 · Bet365 line 25.5
Over 25.5: 50% · 1.83
Under 25.5: 50% · 1.83
H2H · Toby Samuel 0 – 1 Zizou Bergs (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toby Samuel 0–1 Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 ATP Eastbourne | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toby Samuel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Andy Andrade Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 30/08 | Tomas Machac US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Francesco Maestrelli US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Vit Kopriva ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Lukas Neumayer Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 27-27 | L |
| 04/09 | Jesper De Jong US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-19 | W |
| 02/09 | Carlos Taberner US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs?
Our model gives 57% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.