Tennis · ATP Brussels · 20/10, 12:00
Prediction: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron
Team pages: Jan-Lennard Struff · Marcos Giron
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan-Lennard Struff
Marcos Giron
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan-Lennard Struff
6-4 (W-L)
Marcos Giron
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan-Lennard Struff
1–1
Marcos Giron
(2 last)
- 06 Jun2-1 19-18W
- 16 Jun1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan-Lennard Struff 1486 · Marcos Giron 1435
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Marcos Giron | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan-Lennard Struff (rating 1486 vs 1435).
- Jan-Lennard Struff dominates on serve: 8.7 aces and 47.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Marcos Giron | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13.3 | 12.3-14 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.1
Over 23.5: 57% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 43% · 1.80
H2H · Jan-Lennard Struff 1 – 1 Marcos Giron (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan-Lennard Struff 1–1 Marcos Giron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/22 ATP Stuttgart | 2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 16/06/21 ATP Halle | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Martin Landaluce ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 01/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Marcos Giron
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 20-27 | L |
| 24/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Aryan Shah ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron?
Our model gives 60% to Jan-Lennard Struff, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.