Tennis · ATP Almaty · 17/10, 14:00
Prediction: Alexander Shevchenko vs Daniil Glinka
Team pages: Alexander Shevchenko · Daniil Glinka
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Shevchenko
Daniil Glinka
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Shevchenko
5-5 (W-L)
Daniil Glinka
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Shevchenko
1–0
Daniil Glinka
(1 last)
- 12 Feb2-1 18-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Shevchenko 1469 · Daniil Glinka 1507
| Alexander Shevchenko | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Daniil Glinka is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Shevchenko 1–0 Daniil Glinka (1).
Statistics
| Alexander Shevchenko | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.7 | 12.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 27.8% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -1.4
Over 24.5: 40% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 60% · 1.83
H2H · Alexander Shevchenko 1 – 0 Daniil Glinka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Shevchenko 1–0 Daniil Glinka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/26 Challenger Pau | 2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Shevchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yoshihito Nishioka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Asian Games |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Abhishek Bastola Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Dino Prizmic US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 24-26 | L |
| 14/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Daniil Glinka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Daniel Jade Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Shevchenko vs Daniil Glinka?
Our model gives 52% to Alexander Shevchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.