Tennis · ATP Almaty · 17/10, 09:30
Prediction: Adam Walton vs Beibit Zhukayev
Team pages: Adam Walton · Beibit Zhukayev
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Walton
Beibit Zhukayev
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Walton
5-5 (W-L)
Beibit Zhukayev
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adam Walton
3–1
Beibit Zhukayev
(4 last)
- 03 May2-1 18-15W
- 13 Apr2-1 19-17W
- 07 Aug2-0 12-7W
- 03 Jun1-2 17-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Walton 1474 · Beibit Zhukayev 1475
| Adam Walton | Beibit Zhukayev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Adam Walton dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 48.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Adam Walton 3–1 Beibit Zhukayev (4).
Statistics
| Adam Walton | Beibit Zhukayev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11 | 10.5-12 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.3
Over 20.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 41% · 1.83
H2H · Adam Walton 3 – 1 Beibit Zhukayev (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adam Walton 3–1 Beibit Zhukayev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/24 Challenger Guangzhou | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/04/24 Challenger Morelos | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 07/08/23 Challenger Cary | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06/23 Challenger Little Rock | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Marin Cilic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/10 | Rigele Te ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Valentin Royer ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Yibing Wu US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Jesper De Jong ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Beibit Zhukayev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Amir Omarkhanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 21/04 | Liam Broady Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/04 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Busan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/04 | Uisung Park Challenger Busan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Walton vs Beibit Zhukayev?
Our model gives 69% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.