Tennis · ATP Almaty · 17/10, 11:00
Prediction: Roman Safiullin vs Ilya Ivashka
Team pages: Roman Safiullin · Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Roman Safiullin
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Roman Safiullin
6-4 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Roman Safiullin
1–2
Ilya Ivashka
(3 last)
- 08 Mar0-2 6-12L
- 09 Feb3-0 18-11W
- 22 Jan1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Safiullin 1555 · Ilya Ivashka 1586
| Roman Safiullin | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Roman Safiullin dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 53.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Roman Safiullin 1–2 Ilya Ivashka (3).
Statistics
| Roman Safiullin | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.4 | 13.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 80% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 48% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 52% · 1.83
H2H · Roman Safiullin 1 – 2 Ilya Ivashka (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roman Safiullin 1–2 Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/23 ATP Indian Wells | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/02/21 Australian Open | 3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 22/01/17 Challenger Rennes Qual | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Safiullin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Quentin Halys ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Ilya Ivashka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 12/09 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Safiullin vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 64% to Roman Safiullin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.