Tennis · W15 Shenzhen · 17/10, 04:00
Prediction: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Junhan Zhang
Team pages: Daria Khomutsianskaya · Junhan Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Junhan Zhang
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Khomutsianskaya
6-4 (W-L)
Junhan Zhang
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daria Khomutsianskaya
1–0
Junhan Zhang
(1 last)
- 17 Sept2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1515 · Junhan Zhang 1561
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junhan Zhang (rating 1515 vs 1561).
- Head-to-head: Daria Khomutsianskaya 1–0 Junhan Zhang (1).
Statistics
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.1 | 10.3-7.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1 – 0 Junhan Zhang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1–0 Junhan Zhang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 W35 Shenyang | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Khomutsianskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Xiran Lan W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/10 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Yujia Huang WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Junhan Zhang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Junhan Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Yujia Huang W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Jana Kolodynska W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Alexandra Malova W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Daria Egorova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Fang An Lin W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Marianna Shikhanova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Ke Ren W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Junhan Zhang?
Our model gives 61% to Daria Khomutsianskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.