Tennis · W15 Shenzhen · 15/10, 04:00
Prediction: Yanan Hou vs Adithya Karunaratne
Team pages: Yanan Hou · Adithya Karunaratne
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanan Hou
Adithya Karunaratne
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Yanan Hou
6-4 (W-L)
Adithya Karunaratne
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanan Hou 1532 · Adithya Karunaratne 1576
| Yanan Hou | Adithya Karunaratne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adithya Karunaratne (rating 1532 vs 1576).
Statistics
| Yanan Hou | Adithya Karunaratne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.1 | 12.8-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 62% |
| Break % | 69% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanan Hou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Ekaterina Kuznetsova W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 09/10 | Jiaqi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Alina Yuneva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 7-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Niehua Tian W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Shiyu Ye W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 13/09 | Junjie Sun W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Adithya Karunaratne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Tiana Tian Deng W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Urszula Radwanska W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Kolie Allen W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Rina Saigo W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Naiktha Bains W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Hannah Klugman W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Hiromi Abe W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Karla Popovic W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanan Hou vs Adithya Karunaratne?
Our model gives 70% to Adithya Karunaratne, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.