Tennis · W15 Shenzhen · 15/10, 06:30
Prediction: Honori Koyama vs Sijia Wei
Team pages: Honori Koyama · Sijia Wei
Prediction summary
Winner
Honori Koyama
Sijia Wei
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Honori Koyama
2-8 (W-L)
Sijia Wei
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Honori Koyama 1470 · Sijia Wei 1525
| Honori Koyama | Sijia Wei | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sijia Wei (rating 1470 vs 1525).
- Sijia Wei is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Honori Koyama makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Honori Koyama | Sijia Wei | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.9 | 12.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 68.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Honori Koyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jiale Zhang W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Jiayue Pan W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Marianna Shikhanova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Liuyan An W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Tiantian Sun W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Himari Sato W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Sijia Wei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 05/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Rinko Matsuda WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Yujia Huang WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Ruien Zhang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Yidi Yang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 16/09 | Ying Zhang W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Honori Koyama vs Sijia Wei?
Our model gives 78% to Sijia Wei, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.