Tennis · M15 Lexington · 16/10, 18:00
Prediction: Theo Papamalamis vs Johan Oscar Lien
Team pages: Theo Papamalamis · Johan Oscar Lien
Prediction summary
Winner
Theo Papamalamis
Johan Oscar Lien
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Theo Papamalamis
9-1 (W-L)
Johan Oscar Lien
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theo Papamalamis 1569 · Johan Oscar Lien 1521
| Theo Papamalamis | Johan Oscar Lien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Papamalamis (rating 1569 vs 1521).
Statistics
| Theo Papamalamis | Johan Oscar Lien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.4 | 10.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theo Papamalamis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Matei Cristian Onofrei M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Alexander Rozin M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Aryan Shah M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Tito Chavez M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Ben Weintraub M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Nicolas Parizzia Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 09/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Johan Oscar Lien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Youcef Rihane M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Valdemar Frederik Pape M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Justin Schlageter M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Calvin Mueller M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Eric Dylan Mueller M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theo Papamalamis vs Johan Oscar Lien?
Our model gives 68% to Theo Papamalamis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.