Tennis · M15 Lexington · 16/10, 18:00

Prediction: Eli Stephenson vs Noah Zamora

Team pages: Eli Stephenson · Noah Zamora

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Eli Stephenson Noah Zamora
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Eli Stephenson 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWWW
Noah Zamora 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eli Stephenson 1533 · Noah Zamora 1478
Eli StephensonNoah Zamora
Our model58%42%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eli Stephenson (rating 1533 vs 1478).

Statistics

Eli StephensonNoah Zamora
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)10.8-10.510.5-11.6
Aces3.62.9
Double faults3.31.9
1st serve %71.4%66.3%
Break %37.3%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eli Stephenson

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Nicolas Arseneault
M15 Lexington
2-0 7-2 W
14/10 Michael Bassem Sobhy
M15 Lexington
2-0 13-8 W
13/10 Bjorn Swenson
M15 Lexington
2-1 14-12 W
27/08 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Champaign
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Alexander Petrov
M15 Champaign
2-0 12-5 W
02/08 Trevor Svajda
Challenger Lexington · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
24/07 Evan Bynoe
M25 Champaign
1-2 13-19 L
23/07 Lev Seidman
M25 Champaign
2-1 18-10 W
22/07 Oliver Okonkwo
M25 Champaign
2-1 18-13 W
14/07 Evan Bynoe
M25 Louisville
0-2 4-12 L

Noah Zamora

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M15 Lexington
2-0 13-10 W
14/10 Jaden Weekes
M15 Lexington
2-1 15-8 W
28/09 Kaylan Bigun
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
13/09 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
13/08 Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing
1-2 8-16 L
12/08 James McCabe
M25 East Lansing
2-1 17-15 W
30/07 Bruno Kuzuhara
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 10-13 L
29/07 Emon Van Loben Sels
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 12-2 W
19/07 Darian King
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
12/07 Spencer Johnson
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eli Stephenson vs Noah Zamora?

Our model gives 59% to Noah Zamora, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.