Tennis · M15 Lexington · 16/10, 18:00
Prediction: Pepijn Bastiaansen vs Jack Anthrop
Team pages: Pepijn Bastiaansen · Jack Anthrop
Prediction summary
Winner
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Jack Anthrop
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Pepijn Bastiaansen
6-4 (W-L)
Jack Anthrop
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pepijn Bastiaansen 1571 · Jack Anthrop 1533
| Pepijn Bastiaansen | Jack Anthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pepijn Bastiaansen | Jack Anthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.6 | 12.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pepijn Bastiaansen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Gavin Goode M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Matthew Rankin M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Niko Klyachkin M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Denny Bao UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Jack Anthrop
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | William Jansen M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Tiago Torres M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Francisco Rocha M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Nicolas Arseneault M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pepijn Bastiaansen vs Jack Anthrop?
Our model gives 64% to Jack Anthrop, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.