Tennis · M15 Lexington · 15/10, 18:30
Prediction: Gavin Goode vs Pepijn Bastiaansen
Team pages: Gavin Goode · Pepijn Bastiaansen
Prediction summary
Winner
Gavin Goode
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gavin Goode
6-4 (W-L)
Pepijn Bastiaansen
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gavin Goode 1480 · Pepijn Bastiaansen 1561
| Gavin Goode | Pepijn Bastiaansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pepijn Bastiaansen (rating 1480 vs 1561).
- Pepijn Bastiaansen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gavin Goode | Pepijn Bastiaansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.8 | 11.3-8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gavin Goode
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Blaise Bicknell M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Gabe Avram M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Micah Braswell M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Liam Krall M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Hunter Heck M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Aidan Mchugh M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Andrew Johnson M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Bastian Malla M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Andrew Johnson M15 Sunrise |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/11 | Reda Bennani M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Matthew Rankin M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Niko Klyachkin M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Denny Bao UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gavin Goode vs Pepijn Bastiaansen?
Our model gives 52% to Gavin Goode, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.