Tennis · Challenger Maia · 16/10, 17:30
Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer
Team pages: Matej Dodig · Tristan Boyer
Prediction summary
Winner
Matej Dodig
Tristan Boyer
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig
6-4 (W-L)
Tristan Boyer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1609 · Tristan Boyer 1518
| Matej Dodig | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1609 vs 1518).
- Matej Dodig is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matej Dodig | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 89% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-9.6 | 12.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/10 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Miguel Damas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexander Zverev Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Edward Winter Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Andre Ilagan US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer?
Our model gives 63% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.