Tennis · Challenger Maia · 16/10, 16:00
Prediction: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro
Team pages: Marco Trungelliti · Francesco Passaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Trungelliti
Francesco Passaro
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Trungelliti
4-6 (W-L)
Francesco Passaro
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Trungelliti
0–1
Francesco Passaro
(1 last)
- 03 Oct0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Trungelliti 1531 · Francesco Passaro 1606
| Marco Trungelliti | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesco Passaro (rating 1531 vs 1606).
- Head-to-head: Marco Trungelliti 0–1 Francesco Passaro (1).
Statistics
| Marco Trungelliti | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.9 | 13.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Marco Trungelliti 0 – 1 Francesco Passaro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Trungelliti 0–1 Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/20 Challenger Parma | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Martin Landaluce ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Alejandro Juan Mano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Lorenzo Sonego Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 55% to Francesco Passaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.