Tennis · Challenger Maia · 16/10, 12:00
Prediction: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Luka Mikrut
Team pages: Alejo Sanchez Quilez · Luka Mikrut
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Luka Mikrut
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
4-6 (W-L)
Luka Mikrut
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1530 · Luka Mikrut 1621
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1530 vs 1621).
- Luka Mikrut is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.5 | 12.5-7.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 73% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 58.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Vasco Leote Prata Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Donski Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Luka Mikrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Luka Mikrut?
Our model gives 70% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.