Tennis · M15 Lexington · 15/10, 16:30
Prediction: Nikola Slavic vs Christopher Thies
Team pages: Nikola Slavic · Christopher Thies
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Slavic
Christopher Thies
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Slavic
6-4 (W-L)
Christopher Thies
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Slavic 1500 · Christopher Thies 1573
| Nikola Slavic | Christopher Thies | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christopher Thies (rating 1500 vs 1573).
Statistics
| Nikola Slavic | Christopher Thies | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.7 | 10-7 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Slavic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Karl Friberg M25 Falun |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 11/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Lilian Chidekh M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Stefan Seifert M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Karl Friberg M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Christopher Thies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Jean Karim Olivier De Sardan UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Zechariah Hamrouni UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Szymon Malecki UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Felix Obermair UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Kasper Kulpa UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Gabriel Elicha Navas UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Slavic vs Christopher Thies?
Our model gives 54% to Nikola Slavic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.