Tennis · M15 Lexington · 15/10, 17:00
Prediction: Noah Zamora vs Pablo Martinez Gomez
Team pages: Noah Zamora · Pablo Martinez Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Noah Zamora
Pablo Martinez Gomez
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Zamora
1-9 (W-L)
Pablo Martinez Gomez
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Noah Zamora
0–1
Pablo Martinez Gomez
(1 last)
- 10 Nov1-2 16-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noah Zamora 1450 · Pablo Martinez Gomez 1530
| Noah Zamora | Pablo Martinez Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Martinez Gomez (rating 1450 vs 1530).
- Head-to-head: Noah Zamora 0–1 Pablo Martinez Gomez (1).
Statistics
| Noah Zamora | Pablo Martinez Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12 | 11.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Noah Zamora 0 – 1 Pablo Martinez Gomez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Noah Zamora 0–1 Pablo Martinez Gomez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/25 Challenger Champaign | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noah Zamora
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jaden Weekes M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 12/08 | James McCabe M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Darian King Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Spencer Johnson M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Pablo Martinez Gomez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Raul Garcia M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Peter Fajta Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Denia |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kevin Edengren M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noah Zamora vs Pablo Martinez Gomez?
Our model gives 58% to Pablo Martinez Gomez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.