Tennis · W15 Shenzhen · 15/10, 03:30
Prediction: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Xiran Lan
Team pages: Daria Khomutsianskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Xiran Lan
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Khomutsianskaya
5-5 (W-L)
Xiran Lan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1505 · Xiran Lan 1474
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Xiran Lan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Xiran Lan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.7 | 7.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 52.7% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Yujia Huang WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Junhan Zhang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Yufei Ren W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Xiran Lan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Ziyan Zhang W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Eun Ji Lee W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Yushan Shao W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Meiqi Guo W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 24/06 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Yuhan Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 14/05 | Yu Jin Ahn W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Xiran Lan?
Our model gives 75% to Daria Khomutsianskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.