Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 15/10, 17:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9-1 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1615 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1528
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1615 vs 1528).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 48.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-7.7 | 10.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 82.9% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Matias Soto Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Corwin M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 75% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.