Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 14/10, 16:00
Prediction: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Genaro Alberto Olivieri · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
6-4 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
0–1
Alex Barrena
(1 last)
- 28 Oct0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1509 · Alex Barrena 1605
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Barrena (rating 1509 vs 1605).
- Alex Barrena is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Genaro Alberto Olivieri 0–1 Alex Barrena (1).
Statistics
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.7 | 11.1-7.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 68% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 0 – 1 Alex Barrena (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 0–1 Alex Barrena
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/24 Challenger Guayaquil | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Alex Barrena
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Valentin Garay Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 65% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.