Tennis · Challenger Maia · 15/10, 12:00
Prediction: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol
Team pages: Marco Trungelliti · Milos Karol
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Trungelliti
Milos Karol
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Trungelliti
3-7 (W-L)
Milos Karol
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Trungelliti 1509 · Milos Karol 1533
| Marco Trungelliti | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Milos Karol dominates on serve: 10.7 aces and 40.8% break avg.
- Note: Milos Karol makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Marco Trungelliti | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-13.8 | 13.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 10.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Trungelliti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Martin Landaluce ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-21 | L |
Milos Karol
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Florian Broska Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol?
Our model gives 66% to Marco Trungelliti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.