Tennis · M15 Lexington · 14/10, 16:30
Prediction: Marko Mesarovic vs Christopher Thies
Team pages: Marko Mesarovic · Christopher Thies
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Mesarovic
Christopher Thies
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Mesarovic
7-3 (W-L)
Christopher Thies
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Mesarovic 1551 · Christopher Thies 1578
| Marko Mesarovic | Christopher Thies | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marko Mesarovic | Christopher Thies | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.8 | 9.9-6.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Mesarovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Alejandro Moreno M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Oliver Bonding M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Danil Panarin M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Preston Stearns M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Zachary Viiala M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Evan Burnett M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
Christopher Thies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Jean Karim Olivier De Sardan UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Zechariah Hamrouni UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Szymon Malecki UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Felix Obermair UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Kasper Kulpa UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Gabriel Elicha Navas UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Lucian Stefan Andrei M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Mesarovic vs Christopher Thies?
Our model gives 62% to Marko Mesarovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.