Tennis · M15 Lexington · 14/10, 16:30

Prediction: Raul Garcia vs Pablo Martinez Gomez

Team pages: Raul Garcia · Pablo Martinez Gomez

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Raul Garcia Pablo Martinez Gomez
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Raul Garcia 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWLW
Pablo Martinez Gomez 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raul Garcia 1520 · Pablo Martinez Gomez 1495
Raul GarciaPablo Martinez Gomez
Our model54%46%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Raul GarciaPablo Martinez Gomez
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) –
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.4-9.611.3-9.8
Aces1.93.9
Double faults1.51.5
1st serve %66.1%70%
Break %44.5%59.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raul Garcia

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Tom Sickenberger
M15 Lexington
2-0 12-5 W
08/10 Simon Myslivec
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/10 Alexandre Bergeron
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-1 12-13 W
06/10 Mark Havlicek
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
05/10 James Newton
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
11/02 Ryan Colby
M15 Sunrise
0-2 5-12 L
11/01 Luka Butera
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
10/01 Cooper Johnson
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
08/01 Liam Kilmer
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
07/01 Saar Rogovski
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Pablo Martinez Gomez

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Vlado Jankanj
M15 Fayetteville
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Gonzalo Bueno
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
27/07 Jakub Vrba
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/07 Peter Fajta
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
22/07 Mario Arce Fernandez
M25 Denia
1-2 13-15 L
18/07 Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Gandia
0-2 6-12 L
17/07 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-6 W
16/07 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Kevin Edengren
M25 Gandia
2-1 15-10 W
24/06 Tiago Torres
M25 Porto
1-2 14-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raul Garcia vs Pablo Martinez Gomez?

Our model gives 64% to Pablo Martinez Gomez, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.