Tennis · M15 Lexington · 14/10, 15:00
Prediction: Matthew Rankin vs Pepijn Bastiaansen
Team pages: Pepijn Bastiaansen
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Rankin
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Rankin
8-2 (W-L)
Pepijn Bastiaansen
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Rankin 1496 · Pepijn Bastiaansen 1556
| Matthew Rankin | Pepijn Bastiaansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pepijn Bastiaansen (rating 1496 vs 1556).
Statistics
| Matthew Rankin | Pepijn Bastiaansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.2 | 11.3-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Rankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Tyler Bowers M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Romain Andres M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Louis Hull M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Tiago Pires M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Marcello Serafini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Salvador Monteiro M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Niko Klyachkin M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Denny Bao UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lucas Gerch M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Rankin vs Pepijn Bastiaansen?
Our model gives 54% to Pepijn Bastiaansen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.