Tennis · Challenger Maia · 14/10, 13:30
Prediction: Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal
Team pages: Luka Mikrut · Sumit Nagal
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Mikrut
Sumit Nagal
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Mikrut
7-3 (W-L)
Sumit Nagal
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luka Mikrut
2–0
Sumit Nagal
(2 last)
- 07 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 03 Oct2-1 18-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Mikrut 1607 · Sumit Nagal 1477
| Luka Mikrut | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Mikrut (rating 1607 vs 1477).
- Luka Mikrut is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Luka Mikrut 2–0 Sumit Nagal (2).
Statistics
| Luka Mikrut | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.4 | 9.8-12.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Luka Mikrut 2 – 0 Sumit Nagal (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luka Mikrut 2–0 Sumit Nagal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/26 Challenger Braga | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10/25 Challenger Braga | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Mikrut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Sumit Nagal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Seong Chan Hong Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Soonwoo Kwon Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Hyeon Chung Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal?
Our model gives 72% to Luka Mikrut, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.