Tennis · Challenger Maia · 15/10, 13:30
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Vilius Gaubas
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Vilius Gaubas
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Vilius Gaubas
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
5-5 (W-L)
Vilius Gaubas
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Boyer
0–1
Vilius Gaubas
(1 last)
- 21 May0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1492 · Vilius Gaubas 1543
| Tristan Boyer | Vilius Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vilius Gaubas (rating 1492 vs 1543).
- Head-to-head: Tristan Boyer 0–1 Vilius Gaubas (1).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Vilius Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.5 | 12.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Tristan Boyer 0 – 1 Vilius Gaubas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Boyer 0–1 Vilius Gaubas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/25 French Open | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Edward Winter Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Andre Ilagan US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Vilius Gaubas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/10 | Joao Domingues Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Hamad Medjedovic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 28/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Marco Cecchinato US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Kilian Feldbausch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Vilius Gaubas?
Our model gives 58% to Vilius Gaubas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.