Tennis · M15 Offenbach · 14/10, 11:00

Prediction: Julien Penzlin vs Mika Petkovic

Team pages: Julien Penzlin · Mika Petkovic

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Julien Penzlin Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Julien Penzlin 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLWW
Mika Petkovic 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julien Penzlin 1535 · Mika Petkovic 1475
Julien PenzlinMika Petkovic
Our model59%41%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julien Penzlin (rating 1535 vs 1475).

Statistics

Julien PenzlinMika Petkovic
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay – 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.8-10.111.2-11.7
Aces3.72.7
Double faults3.32.5
1st serve %67.7%68.5%
Break %42.3%44.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julien Penzlin

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Jannik Maute
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-1 W
12/10 Moritz Hoffmann
M15 Offenbach
2-0 13-10 W
11/10 Patrick-Valentin Moise
M15 Offenbach
2-1 11-8 W
09/10 Emile Hudd
M15 Rodez
0-2 9-13 L
08/10 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Rodez
2-1 15-11 W
17/09 Lui Maxted
M25 Sintra
0-2 8-12 L
16/09 Joao Domingues
M25 Sintra
2-1 16-15 W
14/09 Maxime St-Hilaire
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-7 W
08/09 Francisco Rocha
M25 Sintra
0-2 6-12 L
03/09 Pieter De Lange
M15 Haren
0-2 5-12 L

Mika Petkovic

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Jakub Kusy
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Vitaliy Sachko
Challenger Bari · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
25/09 Francesco Forti
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
24/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
22/09 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
14/09 Felix Gill
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
08/09 Andrea Pellegrino
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
07/09 Federico Arnaboldi
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
06/09 Daniel Salazar
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 9-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julien Penzlin vs Mika Petkovic?

Our model gives 56% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.