Tennis · M15 Offenbach · 17/10, 11:00

Prediction: Calvin Mueller vs Mika Petkovic

Team pages: Calvin Mueller · Mika Petkovic

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Calvin Mueller Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Mueller 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWWW
Mika Petkovic 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Calvin Mueller 1564 · Mika Petkovic 1502
Calvin MuellerMika Petkovic
Our model59%41%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvin Mueller (rating 1564 vs 1502).

Statistics

Calvin MuellerMika Petkovic
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay – 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.3-1
Games (G-P)11.5-9.211.8-10.7
Aces2.54.3
Double faults1.61.1
1st serve %70.1%73.4%
Break %40.1%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Calvin Mueller

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/10 Flynn Thomas
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-3 W
15/10 Jelle Sels
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-5 W
14/10 Yannik Kelm
M15 Offenbach
2-1 17-14 W
13/10 Mac Visser
M15 Offenbach
2-0 13-9 W
06/10 Adrien Gobat
M15 Rodez
0-2 5-12 L
23/09 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Forbach
1-2 15-18 L
03/09 Kacper Knitter
M15 Szczawno
2-0 12-6 W
02/09 Sebastian Tejerina
M15 Szczawno
2-0 8-3 W
30/08 Jannik Maute
M15 Allershausen
0-2 8-13 L
29/08 Jakub Filip
M15 Allershausen
2-0 13-9 W

Mika Petkovic

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/10 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Offenbach
2-0 13-8 W
15/10 David Eichenseher
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-3 W
14/10 Julien Penzlin
M15 Offenbach
2-1 17-15 W
12/10 Jakub Kusy
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Vitaliy Sachko
Challenger Bari · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
25/09 Francesco Forti
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
24/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
22/09 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
14/09 Felix Gill
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
08/09 Andrea Pellegrino
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Calvin Mueller vs Mika Petkovic?

Our model gives 59% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.