Tennis · M15 Offenbach · 15/10, 11:00

Prediction: Calvin Mueller vs Jelle Sels

Team pages: Calvin Mueller · Jelle Sels

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Calvin Mueller Jelle Sels
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Mueller 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLWW
Jelle Sels 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Calvin Mueller 1555 · Jelle Sels 1547
Calvin MuellerJelle Sels
Our model51%49%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Calvin MuellerJelle Sels
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay – 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.4-0.9
Games (G-P)11.5-912.5-11.9
Aces2.44.2
Double faults1.81.8
1st serve %73.2%70.4%
Break %47%33.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Calvin Mueller

WLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Yannik Kelm
M15 Offenbach
2-1 17-14 W
13/10 Mac Visser
M15 Offenbach
2-0 13-9 W
06/10 Adrien Gobat
M15 Rodez
0-2 5-12 L
23/09 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Forbach
1-2 15-18 L
03/09 Kacper Knitter
M15 Szczawno
2-0 12-6 W
02/09 Sebastian Tejerina
M15 Szczawno
2-0 8-3 W
30/08 Jannik Maute
M15 Allershausen
0-2 8-13 L
29/08 Jakub Filip
M15 Allershausen
2-0 13-9 W
28/08 Hazem Naw
M15 Allershausen
2-0 12-3 W
27/08 Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt
M15 Allershausen
2-0 12-3 W

Jelle Sels

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Lars Goran Verwerft
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-5 W
13/10 Tom Zeuch
M15 Offenbach
2-1 20-19 W
11/10 Adrien Gobat
M15 Rodez
1-2 17-18 L
10/10 Emile Hudd
M15 Rodez
2-0 13-8 W
09/10 Loann Massard
M15 Rodez
2-0 13-10 W
08/10 Alexandre Reco
M15 Rodez
2-0 12-8 W
07/10 Thomas Gerbaud
M15 Rodez
2-0 13-10 W
27/09 Ryan Peniston
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
06/09 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
31/08 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Porto · Clay
1-2 16-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Calvin Mueller vs Jelle Sels?

Our model gives 56% to Jelle Sels, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.