Tennis · M15 Offenbach · 16/10, 12:30
Prediction: Leonardo Rossi vs Mika Petkovic
Team pages: Leonardo Rossi · Mika Petkovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Rossi
Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Rossi
5-5 (W-L)
Mika Petkovic
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leonardo Rossi
1–0
Mika Petkovic
(1 last)
- 16 Oct2-1 12-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Rossi 1542 · Mika Petkovic 1478
| Leonardo Rossi | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leonardo Rossi (rating 1542 vs 1478).
- Head-to-head: Leonardo Rossi 1–0 Mika Petkovic (1).
Statistics
| Leonardo Rossi | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.4 | 12-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Leonardo Rossi 1 – 0 Mika Petkovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leonardo Rossi 1–0 Mika Petkovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/25 M15 Offenbach | 2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Rossi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Michael Agwi M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Arian Barbic M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/09 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Mathys Domenc M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Liam Branger M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Mika Petkovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | David Eichenseher M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Julien Penzlin M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/10 | Jakub Kusy M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Rossi vs Mika Petkovic?
Our model gives 51% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.