Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 14/10, 08:30
Prediction: Stefanie Auer vs Mika Buchnik
Team pages: Stefanie Auer · Mika Buchnik
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanie Auer
Mika Buchnik
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanie Auer
3-7 (W-L)
Mika Buchnik
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanie Auer 1456 · Mika Buchnik 1591
| Stefanie Auer | Mika Buchnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Buchnik (rating 1456 vs 1591).
- Mika Buchnik is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Mika Buchnik makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Stefanie Auer | Mika Buchnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.7-10.4 | 11.9-6.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 7.9 |
| 1st serve % | 49.7% | 65% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 63.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanie Auer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Greta Fenyves W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Anna Mihalka W15 Pecs |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrea Lola Popovic W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Krsko |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Emma Slavikova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Terezia Mlkva W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Tea Nikcevic W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Emma Lene W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Linda Sevcikova W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Sarah Iliev W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Mika Buchnik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Marianne Angel Gonzalez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Kallista Liu W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Zyanya Saavedra Carrera W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Agustina Soto Neira W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Kallista Liu W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Misa Malkin W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Fernanda Torres Gomez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Isabella Foshee W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanie Auer vs Mika Buchnik?
Our model gives 77% to Mika Buchnik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.