Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 16/10, 10:30
Prediction: Maria Sara Popa vs Dunja Maric
Team pages: Maria Sara Popa · Dunja Maric
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Sara Popa
Dunja Maric
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sara Popa
8-2 (W-L)
Dunja Maric
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sara Popa 1610 · Dunja Maric 1543
| Maria Sara Popa | Dunja Maric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sara Popa (rating 1610 vs 1543).
- Maria Sara Popa is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Sara Popa makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Maria Sara Popa | Dunja Maric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-6.7 | 11-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sara Popa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Romane Longueville W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Simona Ogescu W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Rachel Gailis W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Oana Georgeta Simion W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Stefania Bojica W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Ida Wobker W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Angelica Raggi W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Dunja Maric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Emma Mazzoni W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Vittoria Paganetti W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Emma Mazzoni W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Alessandra Mazzola W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Galena Krastenova W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Amelia Paszun W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Nikol Ivanova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sara Popa vs Dunja Maric?
Our model gives 62% to Maria Sara Popa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.