Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 15/10, 08:00
Prediction: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Vittoria Paganetti
Team pages: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez · Vittoria Paganetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Vittoria Paganetti
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
5-5 (W-L)
Vittoria Paganetti
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 1561 · Vittoria Paganetti 1568
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Vittoria Paganetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Vittoria Paganetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.2 | 11.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 7.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Simona Ogescu W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Ipek Oz W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Mika Buchnik W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Melinda Biro W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Anastasia Efremova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/09 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Vittoria Paganetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Maayan Laron W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Alice Tubello W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Dunja Maric W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Romane Longueville W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Oceane Babel W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Vittoria Paganetti?
Our model gives 72% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.