Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 18/10, 09:00
Prediction: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Tilwith Di Girolami
Team pages: Alisa Oktiabreva · Tilwith Di Girolami
Prediction summary
Winner
Alisa Oktiabreva
Tilwith Di Girolami
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alisa Oktiabreva
10-0 (W-L)
Tilwith Di Girolami
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alisa Oktiabreva 1638 · Tilwith Di Girolami 1556
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Tilwith Di Girolami | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alisa Oktiabreva (rating 1638 vs 1556).
- Alisa Oktiabreva is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Tilwith Di Girolami | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (9) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-5.3 | 10.4-7.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 60.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alisa Oktiabreva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Alice Tubello W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Ofir Manhard W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Ipek Oz W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Nuria Brancaccio W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Francesca Curmi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Lola Giza W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tilwith Di Girolami
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Juliette Mazzoni W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/10 | Stamatia Tsoutsi W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Martha Matoula W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 05/10 | Sofia Nikolaidou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Victoria Pohle W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Ava Schueller W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alisa Oktiabreva vs Tilwith Di Girolami?
Our model gives 77% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

