Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 14/10, 12:00
Prediction: Noemi Maines vs Maria Toma
Team pages: Noemi Maines · Maria Toma
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi Maines
Maria Toma
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Maines
4-6 (W-L)
Maria Toma
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi Maines 1487 · Maria Toma 1458
| Noemi Maines | Maria Toma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Noemi Maines is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (7.1/match).
- Note: Maria Toma makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Noemi Maines | Maria Toma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.6 | 9.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 54% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi Maines
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Sara Cakarevic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Briana Szabo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Marta Lombardini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Anna Petkovic W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Federica Trevisan W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Agnese Gentili W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/09 | Carolina Gasparini W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Maria Toma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Laura Boehner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Evora |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Alena Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sevil Yuldasheva W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Xinyu Gao W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi Maines vs Maria Toma?
Our model gives 52% to Maria Toma, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.