Tennis · W15 Shenzhen · 14/10, 04:00
Prediction: Junlu Sun vs Jiangxue Han
Team pages: Junlu Sun · Jiangxue Han
Prediction summary
Winner
Junlu Sun
Jiangxue Han
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Junlu Sun
2-8 (W-L)
Jiangxue Han
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Junlu Sun 1437 · Jiangxue Han 1545
| Junlu Sun | Jiangxue Han | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiangxue Han (rating 1437 vs 1545).
- Jiangxue Han is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Jiangxue Han makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Junlu Sun | Jiangxue Han | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10.9 | 11-9.9 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 51.2% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 62.3% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Junlu Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Xiaochuan Nie W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Fang An Lin W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Naho Sato W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Xu Yunzhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Jiangxue Han
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Kurumi Tamura W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Anri Nagata W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Rena Tanaka W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Eri Shimizu W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kisa Yoshioka W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Nagisa Suzuki W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Eunhye Lee W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Momoko Kobori W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Junlu Sun vs Jiangxue Han?
Our model gives 73% to Jiangxue Han, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.