Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 13/10, 21:30
Prediction: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Team pages: Hernan Casanova · Juan Manuel La Serna
Prediction summary
Winner
Hernan Casanova
Juan Manuel La Serna
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hernan Casanova
4-6 (W-L)
Juan Manuel La Serna
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hernan Casanova
1–0
Juan Manuel La Serna
(1 last)
- 19 Oct2-1 13-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hernan Casanova 1495 · Juan Manuel La Serna 1510
| Hernan Casanova | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hernan Casanova 1–0 Juan Manuel La Serna (1).
Statistics
| Hernan Casanova | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.2 | 12.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Hernan Casanova 1 – 0 Juan Manuel La Serna (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hernan Casanova 1–0 Juan Manuel La Serna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hernan Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexandre Bobiere Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Wilson Leite Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Flynn Thomas M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 23/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Juan Manuel La Serna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna?
Our model gives 53% to Juan Manuel La Serna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.