Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 14/10, 20:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
7-3 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1572 · Hugo Dellien 1585
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.4 | 12.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 79.5% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 59.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Hugo Dellien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 60% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.