Tennis · M15 Lexington · 13/10, 17:30
Prediction: Marko Mesarovic vs Alejandro Moreno
Team pages: Marko Mesarovic · Alejandro Moreno
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Mesarovic
Alejandro Moreno
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Mesarovic
6-4 (W-L)
Alejandro Moreno
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Mesarovic 1525 · Alejandro Moreno 1502
| Marko Mesarovic | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marko Mesarovic | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.1 | 9.1-9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Mesarovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Oliver Bonding M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Danil Panarin M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Preston Stearns M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Zachary Viiala M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Evan Burnett M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Hugo Coquelin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 12/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Jon Gamble M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 22/07 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Ethan Muza M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Mesarovic vs Alejandro Moreno?
Our model gives 66% to Marko Mesarovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.