Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 13/10, 23:00

Prediction: Thiago Cigarran vs Nicolas Kicker

Team pages: Thiago Cigarran · Nicolas Kicker

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Thiago Cigarran Nicolas Kicker
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Cigarran 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLLWWWWW
Nicolas Kicker 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWLLLLW
Head-to-head
Thiago Cigarran 1–0 Nicolas Kicker (1 last)
  • 18 Mar2-1 17-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1545 · Nicolas Kicker 1555
Thiago CigarranNicolas Kicker
Our model49%51%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Thiago Cigarran 1–0 Nicolas Kicker (1).

Statistics

Thiago CigarranNicolas Kicker
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.5-1011.2-9.1
Aces1.91.8
Double faults2.72.9
1st serve %68.3%64.7%
Break %54.9%43.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

H2H · Thiago Cigarran 1 – 0 Nicolas Kicker (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Cigarran 1–0 Nicolas Kicker

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DateSetsGamesRes.
18/03/26
Challenger Asuncion
2-117-13W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thiago Cigarran

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
11/10 Boris Arias
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
06/10 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
04/10 Anders Matta
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
20/09 Santiago Pesino
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
06/09 Tiago Pereira
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
04/09 Karim Bennani
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
03/09 Idriss Haddouch
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Frazier Rengifo
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/08 Jannik Maute
M15 Allershausen
1-2 16-14 L

Nicolas Kicker

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/10 Milledge Cossu
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
25/09 Facundo Mena
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
23/09 Hugo Dellien
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
22/09 Tomas Martinez
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
2-1 13-8 W
16/08 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Todi · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/08 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
14/08 Francesco Passaro
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
03/08 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/08 Yannik Weissmann
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thiago Cigarran vs Nicolas Kicker?

Our model gives 63% to Nicolas Kicker, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.