Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 14/10, 00:30
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mateus Alves
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Mateus Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Mateus Alves
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9-1 (W-L)
Mateus Alves
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Seyboth Wild
2–0
Mateus Alves
(2 last)
- 04 May2-0 12-3W
- 05 Mar2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1644 · Mateus Alves 1568
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1644 vs 1568).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 7 aces and 48.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Thiago Seyboth Wild 2–0 Mateus Alves (2).
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-7.5 | 11.3-7.6 |
| Aces | 7 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 82.4% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Thiago Seyboth Wild 2 – 0 Mateus Alves (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Seyboth Wild 2–0 Mateus Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/23 Challenger Coquimbo | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/03/23 Challenger Santiago | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Matias Soto Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mateus Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Bautista De La Pena Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jose Pereira Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Wilson Leite M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mateus Alves?
Our model gives 71% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.