Tennis · M15 Lexington · 14/10, 17:00

Prediction: Olaf Pieczkowski vs Hoyoung Roh

Team pages: Olaf Pieczkowski · Hoyoung Roh

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Olaf Pieczkowski Hoyoung Roh
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Olaf Pieczkowski 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWLWWW
Hoyoung Roh 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olaf Pieczkowski 1494 · Hoyoung Roh 1536
Olaf PieczkowskiHoyoung Roh
Our model44%56%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hoyoung Roh (rating 1494 vs 1536).

Statistics

Olaf PieczkowskiHoyoung Roh
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 25% (4) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.3-0.8
Games (G-P)9.9-11.311.7-9.3
Aces3.94
Double faults2.91.6
1st serve %63.6%67.7%
Break %45.3%56.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olaf Pieczkowski

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Hugo Coquelin
M15 Ann Arbor
1-0 6-5 W
01/10 Max Sheldon
M15 Ann Arbor
2-1 17-12 W
30/09 Fredrik Krogh Solheim
M15 Ann Arbor
2-0 12-8 W
24/09 Sean Daryabeigi
M15 Columbia
0-2 6-11 L
23/09 Zsombor Velcz
M15 Columbia
2-0 12-6 W
04/08 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
29/07 Dan Brand
M15 Astana
0-2 4-12 L
03/06 Karl Poling
Challenger Tyler · Hard
1-2 10-14 L
01/06 Garrett Johns
Challenger Tyler · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
24/05 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Hoyoung Roh

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Alexander Rozin
M15 Fayetteville
0-2 10-13 L
01/10 Charlie Robertson
M15 Fayetteville
1-1 13-14 L
29/09 Eudald Gonzalez
M15 Fayetteville
2-0 13-8 W
19/07 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
18/07 Asahi Harazaki
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/07 Shu Muto
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Weiwen Pan
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
15/07 Donghyun Hwang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
11/07 Martin Borisiouk
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/07 Hanyi Liu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olaf Pieczkowski vs Hoyoung Roh?

Our model gives 51% to Hoyoung Roh, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.