Tennis · M15 Lexington · 14/10, 17:00
Prediction: Duje Markovina vs Nicolas Arseneault
Team pages: Duje Markovina · Nicolas Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Duje Markovina
Nicolas Arseneault
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Duje Markovina
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolas Arseneault
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duje Markovina 1467 · Nicolas Arseneault 1433
| Duje Markovina | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Duje Markovina | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.7 | 9.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 39% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duje Markovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Neo Niedner M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Charlie Swaine M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Jake Delaney M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Blake Ellis M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Ashton Mcleod M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Nicolas Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Jack Anthrop M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Liam Draxl M25 Laval |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duje Markovina vs Nicolas Arseneault?
Our model gives 63% to Nicolas Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.