Tennis · M15 Lexington · 14/10, 17:00

Prediction: Maxwell Exsted vs Jack Anthrop

Team pages: Maxwell Exsted · Jack Anthrop

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Maxwell Exsted Jack Anthrop
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maxwell Exsted 6-4 (W-L)
LLWLWWWWLW
Jack Anthrop 8-2 (W-L)
LWWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maxwell Exsted 1537 · Jack Anthrop 1515
Maxwell ExstedJack Anthrop
Our model53%47%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Maxwell ExstedJack Anthrop
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 71% (7) –
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-1
Games (G-P)11.5-1011.2-11.1
Aces0.53.3
Double faults1.43.2
1st serve %59.9%69.9%
Break %43.3%44.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maxwell Exsted

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
21/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/08 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
18/08 Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
13/08 Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
12/08 Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W
11/08 Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
06/08 Maximus Dussault
M25 Southaven
0-2 3-12 L
04/08 Quinn Vandecasteele
M25 Southaven
2-1 14-14 W

Jack Anthrop

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Fausto Tabacco
M25 Setubal
1-2 12-18 L
15/09 Tiago Torres
M25 Sintra
1-2 11-16 L
12/09 Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra
1-2 15-17 L
11/09 Francisco Rocha
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-4 W
10/09 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-10 W
08/09 Guilherme Valdoleiros
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-7 W
28/08 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Champaign
0-2 7-12 L
27/08 Nicolas Arseneault
M15 Champaign
2-0 13-8 W
26/08 Noah Schachter
M15 Champaign
2-0 12-7 W
07/08 Timo Legout
M25 Southaven
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maxwell Exsted vs Jack Anthrop?

Our model gives 53% to Maxwell Exsted, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.