Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 13/10, 09:00

Prediction: Ilary Pistola vs Barbara Dessolis

Team pages: Ilary Pistola · Barbara Dessolis

Prediction summary
Winner
76% 24%
Ilary Pistola Barbara Dessolis
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ilary Pistola 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLWL
Barbara Dessolis 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ilary Pistola 1507 · Barbara Dessolis 1407
Ilary PistolaBarbara Dessolis
Our model64%36%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilary Pistola (rating 1507 vs 1407).
  • Ilary Pistola is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Barbara Dessolis makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Ilary PistolaBarbara Dessolis
Win %50%10%
Win % · Clay 50% (8) 14% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.6-1.9
Games (G-P)10.7-11.37.9-12.1
Aces0.11.2
Double faults3.74
1st serve %56.8%55.1%
Break %47.7%39.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ilary Pistola

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Alena Kovackova
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/09 Yuliana Lizarazo
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
19/09 Marta Lombardini
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/09 Oceane Babel
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 18-17 W
17/09 Vittoria Paganetti
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 16-16 W
16/09 Kolie Allen
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
16/07 Luna Vujovic
W35 Torino
0-2 6-12 L
15/07 Carla Giambelli
W35 Torino
2-0 13-9 W
07/05 Beatrise Zeltina
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L

Barbara Dessolis

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Marie Mettraux
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
22/09 Noemi Maines
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 7-11 L
16/09 Viola Turini
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
15/09 Chiara Fornasieri
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 8-7 L
09/09 Eva Marie Voracek
W15 Viserba Di Rimini
0-2 3-12 L
30/07 Sara Mikaca
W15 Rogaska Slatina
1-2 14-16 L
14/07 Romane Longueville
W15 Krsko
1-2 11-17 L
20/05 Aurora Nosei
W15 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/05 Laura Hietaranta
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/05 Lingling Zhu
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilary Pistola vs Barbara Dessolis?

Our model gives 76% to Ilary Pistola, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.