Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 13/10, 09:00
Prediction: Maria Andrienko vs Caterina Odorizzi
Team pages: Maria Andrienko · Caterina Odorizzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Andrienko
Caterina Odorizzi
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Andrienko
2-8 (W-L)
Caterina Odorizzi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Andrienko 1515 · Caterina Odorizzi 1419
| Maria Andrienko | Caterina Odorizzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Andrienko (rating 1515 vs 1419).
Statistics
| Maria Andrienko | Caterina Odorizzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.6 | 7.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 51% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Andrienko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Natalija Senic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Nicole Andrea Molaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Annemarie Lazar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Varna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Merel Hoedt W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Alja Senica W15 Pecs |
1-1 | 9-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Federica Sacco W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Carolina Dibenedetto W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Caterina Odorizzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Anna Snigireva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jaya Kapoor W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Laura Boehner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Cristina Pescucci W35 Verbier Qual |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Gaeul Jang W50 Prague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Milana Ivantsiv W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 27/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Zuzanna Kolonus W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Zainab Williams W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Andrienko vs Caterina Odorizzi?
Our model gives 78% to Maria Andrienko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.