Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 13/10, 09:00
Prediction: Maria Toma vs Laura Boehner
Team pages: Maria Toma · Laura Boehner
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Toma
Laura Boehner
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Toma
3-7 (W-L)
Laura Boehner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Toma 1442 · Laura Boehner 1497
| Maria Toma | Laura Boehner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Boehner (rating 1442 vs 1497).
- Note: Maria Toma makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Maria Toma | Laura Boehner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12.1 | 9.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 58% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Toma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Evora |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Alena Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sevil Yuldasheva W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Xinyu Gao W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Laura Boehner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Seville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Angelica Sara W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Caterina Odorizzi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Diana Marcinkevica UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Nikol Sevald UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Lara Nodis UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/09 | Emily Welker UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Toma vs Laura Boehner?
Our model gives 57% to Maria Toma, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.