Tennis · W35 Heraklion · 13/10, 12:30
Prediction: Maayan Laron vs Vittoria Paganetti
Team pages: Maayan Laron · Vittoria Paganetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Maayan Laron
Vittoria Paganetti
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maayan Laron
6-4 (W-L)
Vittoria Paganetti
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maayan Laron 1510 · Vittoria Paganetti 1557
| Maayan Laron | Vittoria Paganetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vittoria Paganetti (rating 1510 vs 1557).
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Maayan Laron | Vittoria Paganetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8 | 11.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 7.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 62% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maayan Laron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Francesca Curmi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Maddalena Giordano W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Beatris Spasova W15 Varna |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 05/09 | Ana Candiotto W15 Porto Velho |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Alisa Danilova W15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/09 | Bianca M B Bia Bernardes W15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/08 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Victoria Luiza Barros W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Luana Plaza W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Leticia Garcia Vidal W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Vittoria Paganetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Alice Tubello W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Dunja Maric W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Romane Longueville W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Oceane Babel W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maayan Laron vs Vittoria Paganetti?
Our model gives 71% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.