Tennis · Challenger Maia · 13/10, 13:30
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Team pages: Max Alcala Gurri · Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
9-1 (W-L)
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Alcala Gurri
1–2
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
(3 last)
- 01 Sept1-2 14-17L
- 15 Nov2-0 12-8W
- 24 Sept1-2 7-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1627 · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1485
| Max Alcala Gurri | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Alcala Gurri (rating 1627 vs 1485).
- Max Alcala Gurri is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Max Alcala Gurri 1–2 Alejo Sanchez Quilez (3).
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-7.8 | 9.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 27.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Max Alcala Gurri 1 – 2 Alejo Sanchez Quilez (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Alcala Gurri 1–2 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/24 Challenger Seville | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/11/23 ITF M15 Valencia | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09/23 M15 Melilla | 1-2 | 7-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Vasco Leote Prata Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Donski Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?
Our model gives 70% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.