Tennis · Challenger Maia · 13/10, 16:30
Prediction: Florian Broska vs Milos Karol
Team pages: Florian Broska · Milos Karol
Prediction summary
Winner
Florian Broska
Milos Karol
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Florian Broska
7-3 (W-L)
Milos Karol
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Florian Broska
0–2
Milos Karol
(2 last)
- 21 Sept0-2 7-12L
- 15 Feb0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florian Broska 1495 · Milos Karol 1525
| Florian Broska | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Milos Karol dominates on serve: 11.5 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Florian Broska 0–2 Milos Karol (2).
- Note: Milos Karol makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Florian Broska | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-14 | 13.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 11.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 77.7% |
| Break % | 45% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
H2H · Florian Broska 0 – 2 Milos Karol (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Florian Broska 0–2 Milos Karol
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Challenger Orleans | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/02/24 M15 Oberhaching | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florian Broska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M25 Slobozia |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 01/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Robert Guna M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Milos Karol
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Marek Gengel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florian Broska vs Milos Karol?
Our model gives 50% to Florian Broska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.